The challenge “oil platform leaks” aims to issue an impact bulletins (within 24 and 72 hours) for the next 72 hours that determine the likely trajectory of the slick and the statistical likelihood that sensitive coastal habitats or species or tourist beaches will be affected:
- The challenge handles the ability to produce oil spill predictions in the entire Black Sea.
- An alert to a leak is generated on-line during the project by the Commission
The challenge will deliver two Bulletins within 24 and 72 hours providing information regarding the dispersion of the oil spill for the next 72 hours from the time of receipt of the oil platform leak alert.
The workflow is made of three major activities:
Activity 1: to search for upstream data to meet challenge requirements
- Met-ocean conditions;
- Bathymetry, Coastline and coastal types, sedimentology, sea bed habitats/Environmental Sensitivity;
- Human activities, marine and coastal infrastructures, mariculture, MPA, and transport routes, use of coastal areas.
Activity 2: to build and analyze data base, produce challenge outputs for GIS use
Activity 3: to deliver checkpoint information, and report assessment in results in the Literature Survey and Data Adequacy Reports.
- ORION Joint Research and Development Centre. ORION, Cyprus (Leader)
- Euro-Mediterranean Centre of Climate Change, CMCC, Italy
- Institute of oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, IO-BAS, Bulgaria
- National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, NKUA, Greece
- Which input information is looked for, discoverable ?
Input data to deliver oil spill predictions in the Black Sea are:
– meteo-oceanographic forecast and analysis (including winds, 3D sea currents, waves and sea surface temperature) provided by Copernicus CMEMS Black Sea MFC, international or regional operational meteo-ocean providers and ECMWF through the national meteorological services;
– coastal habitats (sea bed habitats and geology) provided by EMODnet portals;
– oil platform position, date/time of the leak, type of oil, rate of spillage or total amount of oil spilled provided by the Commission or input data from slick satellite observations provided by EMSA.
- Are data sets accessible ?
The Challenge will provide information on the data availability in a standardized way plus terms of access and use.
- How appropriate for use are the data ?
The Challenge will provide information on the data appropriateness in standardized way plus descriptive text of strengths and weakness regarding the appropriateness of upstream data used. It will include a rationale for non selection of unused input data.
The targeted products are:
- A Bulletin with the oil spill simulation results. The simulation results will be reported with confidence limits, which will include a data layer of:
– Maps of surface, subsurface and coastal oil spill concentrations;
– Wind, currents and wave maps;
– Predicted impact on the coastal environment, seabed habitats and human activities;
– Comparison between different oil spill models and meteo-oceanographic data set simulations.
- plus quality assessments indicators and reports.